Showing posts with label Football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Football. Show all posts

Monday, August 19, 2019

An interesting theory regarding Real Madrid

Hi I'm here today to talk about Real Madrid and their current state as we get ready for another season of exciting football in the European continent. There is so much going on in the transfer market everything from the whole Neymar debacle to the surprise signing of Nicolas Pépé from Arsenal which I alongside pretty much everyone never saw it coming, you have Tottenham bringing in Ndombele a player some would assume should be joining a bigger club is this the beginning of a new chapter for Spurs just to give my take quickly I love the move for both the player and the club and right now Tottenham is a top side with a real chance against any club in the world obviously Pochettino's side must improve significantly in order to compete for the Premier League title against a side like Man City for instance but on a Champions League draw I see them competing with anyone and that's what they have done for the last couple of years.

Moving forward now as I got off the topic which we are here to address, I have a theory on Real Madrid and their squad and I'm very interested in hearing what you guys make of it.

It's beyond denial that Real Madrid changed their history after Ronaldo arrived and despite a round of 16 exit in his first year at the club against Lyon if I'm not mistaken they spent every year since the exception being last season making all the way to the Champions League semifinals and if that's all you knew you would think well Real Madrid has been playing the best football in years period and for the majority of those years that hasn't been the case even when they were at their best in seasons like when Mourinho led them to 100 points in LA Liga or when Zidane won both LaLiga and the Champions using that 4-1-2-1-2 with Isco as a number 10 and Ronaldo joining Benzema as a striker isntead of being a winger like he used to even in those seasons Real Madrid never really stood out as a side that played the best football.

The truth of the matter is that Real Madrid in the last 10 years has been known as the side that rises to the big occasion even in underwhelming seasons they seem to flip a switch and turn up for the big Champions League matchup whether it's against Guardiola's Bayern period and for the majority of those years that hasn't been the case even when they were at their best in seasons like when Mourinho led them to 100 points in LA Liga or when Zidane won both LaLiga and the Champions they seemed to  always scrape by in the group stage and then manage to drastically improve their play when it matters the most.

Let's just reflect in their last Champions League trophy and how that season went down.

Under Zinedine Zidane in what would later become his last season at the helm during his first spell an already aging side that despite coming off back to back Champions League trophy was under some pressure to improve, pressure on Zidane to deliver Real had a melancholic exit on the Copa del Rey being e liminated by Leganés, their performance on LaLiga  was as he has been for the majority of the seasons since they began this run quite underwhelming never really challenging Barcelona and the title and due to the lack of competition beyond Atletico Madrid they never saw qualification for the Champions League being threatened and that's the script for a lot of their past seasons. I am certain that if Real Madrid with the exact performance they delivered during the last 10 years played in the Premier LModric for instance we would have had a couple of seasons with no Los Blancos in club football's biggest stage.

Now at this point you are probably thinking what's his point and can we get on with it but slow down as I said this take some elaborating and all of it is important in making my point.

Moving forward the fact that Real Madrid continuously showed up and elevated their play in decisive Champions League matches with very little change to the starting eleven, James started for a while with Kroos and Modric playing further back on the pitch but Zidane quickly inserted Casemiro in the lineup taking James out and gave Modric and Kroos more freedom to create and distribute that worked for a while but with Gareth Bale's recurring injury woes and a lack of a replacement at his level the Frenchman made another change to the formation and gave Isco a starting job playing the role of the number 10 transitioning from a classic 4-3-3 to a 4-1-2-1-2 sliding Ronaldo to the middle alongside Benzema and rBenzema

on Marcelo and Carvajal to provide width as the team didn't have a winger nor a wide midfielder, Isco had the freedom to roam across the field but he always ended up coming to the middle of the field this formation really explored the ability to attack from both fullbacks.

What I am trying to say is that for the most part under Zidane in the big games Madrid rolled out with one of these two lineups.

4-3-3
Navas
Carvajal
Varane
Ramos
Marcelo
Casemiro
Kroos
Modric
Bale
Ronaldo
Benzema

4 -1-2-1-2

Navas
Carvajal
Varane
Ramos
Marcelo
Casemiro
Kroos
Modric
Isco
Benzema
Ronaldo

This was pretty much the entire variation tactically that Real Madrid had over the last 4 years give or take it goes without saying that I'm not including last season given that Florentino Perez fired two managers and each one of the three had a different philosophy.

Considering all of these factors I just mentioned and looking at the team right now under Zidane who deployed a strategy of doing a lot of man managing
and not altering the starting eleven often like we see with managers such as Unai Emery for instance we can assume that he won't look to make wholesale changes but despite that argument being most likely true I also have a theory to explain Real Madrid's lack of renewal in their roster inspire of spending literally more money than any other team in the history of the world on a single window for transfers.

Stop and marvel at this. Florentino Perez splashed out the cash and when it comes to the overall that of money spent on a single transfer window this year's Madrid sit at the top of that list displacing PSG spending spree a couple of years ago when they bought Neymar and Mbappé and regardless of that whenever we see a probable starting eleven for Los Blancos in the 19/20 season the top only change we see from the squad that won the Champions League against Liverpool is Hazard replacing Ronaldo and the uncertainty of who plays in the place of Isco not the actual option given that Real no longer display that f ormation. Before you get all worked up I know Hazard will play on the left wing unlike Ronaldo during his last few years in Spain and that they will most likely use a 4-3-3 formation and that Isco will I assume be a bench piece since he's not a winger and even less so a right winger and right now with no Asensio for the season and Bale out of Zidane's plans Vinicius Jr. seems to be the one who'll get nod by default.

Also if you want to go back to an era in Madrid when Gareth Bale wasn't the scastarted Madrid used the classic 4-3-3 with CR7 on the left wing the exact position Hazard will play and Bale on the right, the only change from that team that's not mandatory due to an exit is the fact Bale is no longer viewed as an viable player and while Real isn't short of candidates to replace him there is no one that jumps out at you.

All of that means Real Madrid have been against change to the starting eleven now anyone will feel the same with their recent success but even after an awful season that started with based on most reports Zidane leaving his role because Florentino Pereslz didn't want to make moves that Zidane deemed necessary and culminated on a melancholic end when in a matter of days they were eliminated from both the Copa del Rey against Barcelona and got thrashed at home against Ajax in the round of 16 of the Champions League which led to an unanimous belief amongst fans, pundits and anyone that follows football to state that this was it Real Madrid has delayed this for as long as they could b ut now the results on the pitch are there for anyone to see it. The end of an era, Madrid need a big overhaul, the midfield looks slow, Marcelo's offensive abilities no longer outweigh his lack of defending a lot of people completely ignored the fact that Benzema actually had a pretty good season and all that frustration they accumulated over the years for his lack of scoring it all came out, his critics often felt handicapped by the results of the team.

The consensus was that a handful or so of players needed to be shown the door and you had to bring fresh faces in, that happened but why as we get set to begin the season Real Madrid look as those they will start the season with the exact same starting eleven of years past outside of Hazard replacing Ronaldo and the uncertainty surrounding the right winger unless Zidane pulls something out of nowhere like that formation with three centrebacks that he experimented with against Roma something I doubt he planned on doing when he first started planning for this upcoming season but after seeing bad performances that worried even the most optimistic Madrid fan Zidane had to try something new even if they exclusively played friendlies.

I'll tell you why.

This Real Madrid squad with the amount of success it has had in the past few years reached a level where most of their players were and still are viewed as the best players in their position and even now after a down year no matter who Real bought that player would struggle to be in the starting eleven right from the get go.

Let me elaborate.

Goalkeeper: They didn't need a goalkeeper but nonetheless no goalkeeper would be a starter with Courtois as the goalie. Maybe De Gea.

Fullbacks: Carvajal and Marcelo are excellent fullbacks but especially with Marcelo even at his best I always considered him amongst the great fullbacks and by far and away the best attacking fullback but his bad defending was always an issue and just to name another player I always liked Alaba more viewing as an all around better option and even now with Farland Mandy easily one of the more promising fullbacks in the world arriving at the club for a large sum every probable starting eleven we saw throughout the summer window had Marcelo as the left back to begin the season. I cannot think of one player that Real could have bought for their back line that would be viewed as a starter. Some might say De Ligt but would you bench Varane because Ramos is the highest paid player in the entire team. I can see few player benching Varane for De Ligt but I attribute that a lot more to the hype surrounding De Ligt than to his actual play on the pitch.

Think about that there was pretty much no one that Florentino Perez could buy to be in the starting eleven from day one for this Madrid side. That's not my opinion there's a lot I would do differently but based on the popular opinion what I said at the beginning of the paragraph.

The same goes for the defensive midfielder role that Casemiro plays despite how bad Kroos and Modric looked last season beyond Pogba and maybe Eriksen no other midfielders would join the club as regular starters from day one. Madrid has been linked with Van De Beek in these last few days and he is another name I'd bring in and put him in the starting eleven from day one but that's not what you will see from most people. I doubt a sports show would do a preview of Real Madrid for next season with Modric or Kroos on the bench and Donny Van De Beek as a starter.

With Hazard already in the squad that right side was open for a big acquisition but even there a guy like Vinicius Jr. or Gareth Bale who after the season opener looks set to say provide good options but look at the number 9 role, Benzema has been contested for years but coming off a season in which he was by far the best player for Real Madrid even with a guy like Jovic coming in most previews have him as an option off the bench with Benzema starting.

What does all of this mean?

It means that even after an awful season Real Madrid have a great squad and in most positions you would struggle to find better options anywhere at least if you go by name recognition.

In my eyes bringing Zidane back was a mistake not moving on from a few players like Modric for example, loaning Ceballos and selling Llorente all very questionable decisions and I would not view other players like Marcelo or Kroos as untouchables.

Despite how crazy it may seem Florentino Perez managed to spend the most money in a single transfer window ever while seeing a handful of players leave the club permanently or on loan all of that without doing an overhaul in terms of the roster

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Discussing the second legs of the quarterfinals and looking ahead to the semifinals

The Uefa Champions League is down to its last four teams.

1 from Spain: Barcelona

1 from Netherlands: Ajax

2 from England: Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool

The semifinals begin tomorrow but before we get to that, let's discuss what happened in the previous round.

Porto 1 x 4 Liverpool

Porto 1 x 6 Liverpool on aggregate.

After the first leg in England everyone more or less felt like this was a done deal and that comes with no disrespect towards the Portuguese side, considering the roster talent on each side, the level they are currently playing in and the result of the first leg this was the Reds' trip to the semifinal to lose and in a somewhat more pragmatic style of play than the one they employed last year they managed to keep Porto at bay throughout the 180 minutes, Virgil Van Dijk continues his extraordinary run of form that has turned him into undoubtedly the best defender in the world and at least to me a lock to be amongst the top 3 for the Ballon D'or award, Messi is also a lock that goes without saying, he maybe should be even a lock to win it regardless of what happens from now until the end of the season.

Getting back to both teams this seemed like Porto's ceiling and it would take something truly extraordinary for them to go through as for Liverpool accounting for every factor in play I really see them as the favourites to win the competition and also obviously favourites to beat Barcelona in the semifinals, this doesn't mean that there is too much between the two sides and beyond Messi pulling something out ofof nowhere, there's not much more to rely on for Barcelona fans, I just see Liverpool at a higher level collectively, individually it's a coinflip but for anyone that's seen both of them this year it's clear there's a gap there.


Barcelona 3 x 0 Manchester United

Barcelona 4 x 0 Manchester United on aggregate

Before we address anything I have a small rant to go on.

For anybody that follows football closely and even more for all of the Manchester United fans aren't you just sick and tired of hearing about Paul Pogba transfer rumors I mean enough either stay or ask for a transfer, this is a guy that's been there for three years and every other week we get the same stuff whether is Real Madrid, Juventus or even Barcelona is just exhausting.

When Solskjaer came in and they improved their level of performance while still maintaining a counterattacking style of play that's for those of you who said United can't be a counterattacking team because of their history all while praising the job Solskjaer had done, did you see the win at Wembley against Tottenham if that game happened with Mourinho at the helm I can already imagine the headlines and none of this is a knock on Ole Gunnar Solskjaer but merely acknowledging that in the end of Mourinho's run as United manager they were a bad counterattacking team that didn't defend well nor was effective while counterattacking and with Solskjaer especially against good to great opponents they became a good or at least a better counterattacking side but getting back to Pogba well for all of his time at United the one big game against a world class opponent where he actually has shown up is the game against City at Etihad last season when United came back from behind 2 x 0 and won the game 3 x 2 delaying Manchester City's celebration of the Premier League title and that game didn't have much meaning beyond pride really. He got sent off in the first leg against PSG which meant he didn't even play in the match at Paris and he was a complete no show for both legs against Barcelona as well as the match against City in the Premier League and several others, okay I'm done.

The actual game it didn't start off in the way you'd assume given the final outcome, if United were by any means going to pull through and reach the next round they were going to have one chance, not one single goal scoring chance but one chance as in there was not much room for error and the first 15 minutes saw United with its chance to pounce on Barcelona and they didn't, the efficiency that they demonstrated at Paris didn't made the trip to Spain and in those moments where things went their way in Paris well they didn't this time, in the first act of the game Marcus Rashford on a beautiful piece of finishing hit the crossbar, De Gea killed any sort of chance they had of coming from behind by conceding that ridiculous second goal by Lionel Messi who once again put the ball in his back pocket and decided the game like he so often has done this season and in his whole career.

Barcelona advances through the quarterfinals with some questions marks and they will most definitely have to improve if they want to go through to the final but they are still Barcelona and Jurgen Klopp's side will do all but underestimate them. Just notice that even in this set of circumstances Barcelona is still widely considered to be the favourite.


Juventus 1 x 2 Ajax

Juventus 2 x 3 Ajax on Aggregate

The dutch side pull off another major upset, if you have been following my articles you know that I didn't share the opinion that Ajax beating Juve was an upset by any stretch of imagination, what they have managed to do in this season is beyond words really, they dominated matches against Real Madrid, Juventus and Bayern Munich in those encounters they've looked like the shot callers, time and time again proving people wrong, they especially in the midfield made Real Madrid and Jiventus look old, Tadic seems to have mastered the art of controlling and dribbling the ball in extremely short spaces and I'm sure you can find individual merits for each player.

Talking about Juventus especially for a moment, in the last 4 matches in the Champions League, the two against Atletico and these two against Ajax no one other than Ronaldo has scored a goal and that's concerning mostly because Dybala is completely out of sync and seems to be playing without a position at least not an effective one he just seems to be in there, Kean is still too young to carry a big part of the load, I really like Douglas Costa but he is always hurt, Bernardeschi is a fine option but not much more than that Mandzukic is getting old and if you look at the midfielders literally none of them have great finishing skills, now Juventus is still a terrific side that should be able to eliminate Ajax and this is more about praising Ajax and Erik Ten Hag than anything else but it'd be negligent on my part to not address those minor issues that the Italian side has.

One last note, despite all the quality they have presented to us in these 4 games, Ajax conceded the first goal in 3 of them including both ones at home so this is a group of players that does not get fazed by the moment even when they get knocked back.


Manchester City 4 x 3 Tottenham

Manchester City 4 x 4 Tottenham on Aggregate. Spurs go through on away goals

A night to remember at the Etihad, 4 goals in the first 10 minutes set the tempo and the rest of the match did not disappoint.

This City side showed an ability to bounce back and be resilient that we haven't seen before, conceding two goals in a span of a few minutes both on defensive blunders by one of your better defenders in Laporte  this could have easily gone sideways but right afterwards Bernardo Silva scored the fourth goal of the game and gave the Citizens some momentum and in the end despite their best efforts Tottenham go through on away goals which is to me a completely arbitrary rule that should not exist but that's a debate for another day.

It's obviously a disappointment for Guardiola and his side to once again be eliminated in the quarterfinals but to me this is the most honourable defeat out of the 3, against Monaco despite being the first year they really looked bad in the second leg and after winning the game at home 5 x 3 I expected that they'd qualify for the semifinals but a 3 x 1 caused their elimination also on away goals, last season not so much the elimination but they were embarrassed by Liverpool in the first leg and the duel was pretty much decided there. Overall they probably deserved at least as much as Tottenham to be amongst the last four, Kevin De Bruyne showed why he is one of the 10 best players in the world and Lloris once again proved just how important he can be.

A side note to think about, when Pep looked at his bench he saw Stones, Fernandinho, Sané, Mahrez, Jesus and when Pochettino looked at his bench Llorente was his best option to replace an injured Sissoko unless he wanted to put Skipp in a baptism by fire that gives you an idea of the difference in terms of investment on both sides.

As for the matches against Ajax, Harry Kane will surely be missed and Son being out for the first leg will also hurt Tottenham chances but given what we have seen so far this is as much of a coinflip as it can be, maybe just a slight 52-48 % chance in favor of Ajax strictly because of the aforementioned absences, but what levels the playing field to me is that I see room for improvement in terms of what they performed so far in the Champions League for Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen, especially the latter which would give Spurs a huge boost where as for Ajax this is pretty much their ceiling nonetheless it is a very high one.

The fact is we are in for two great matchups that I can't wait to watch.

See you all for the next article debating the first leg matches.

Spread the word, comment, share your opinion let's get some discussions going.