Thursday, November 30, 2017

Remember This Name

Just wanted to do a quick article on a player i really like heading into next season, a prospect who dipped his toe in the big leagues and through a limit number of at-bats, faired very well, and no is not Rhys Hoskins he's great we all know it, i am talking about a guy that flew under the radar.

Jesse Winker, he is a corner OF for the Reds who was picked 49 overall in the 2012 Draft, late bloomer, lefty 6.3/215 he will turn 25 in August next year, why I'm a fan, for starters he played great in the majors with no unsustainable stat line, it's not like he BABIP'd .400. In 47 games and 137 Plate Appearances he had a:

298/375/529 slashline, on a .322 BABIP

one lower than the one he averaged on AA and AAA, by now you guys probably know i love wRC+ his was at 135, his O-Swing% at 20.4 is very good, for some context the 4 hitters that were lower thab him this year were Votto, Carpenter, Pham, and Trout, great company right he didn't swing in the zone a lot at 64.7, but made a ton of contact at 87.0%, his overall Contact% at 84.0 was very high and his Swinging Strike% at 6.8 was great, you don't want to overanalyze a small sample size but all of this is in line with his great hitting tool, 55/70 on FanGraphs, he has 20-25 HR pop and could benefit from a higher FB% 30.9. But being more of a doubles hitter, 40 grade on raw power he could succeed with a below avg FB percentage. His defense could use more work, but it's his hitting that will carry him and for a guy who found success in A, AA, AAA and early in the majors, with his skillset, i see no reason to believe he won't be a successful hitter in the majors. One of my under the radar sleeper picks to succeed next year.

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